Why bet on corners?
Corners betting in soccer has become increasingly popular in recent years. In addition to offering bettors a chance to take advantage of a bookmaker’s lack of knowledge or attention to minor details, the fluctuation of odds in live corners betting is another reason sharp bettors will choose this specific market.
Betting on corners in soccer is very different to other markets like the 1X2 or Handicap. The outcome of a match can correlate to the corner count for each side, but this isn’t always the case. Because soccer is such a low-scoring sport, draws and underdog victories are easier to come by compared to other sports. However, the corner count will be a lot higher and provide a more accurate reflection of a team's performance.
Whereas goals are rare events, an average match features between 10 and 11 corners, and while strange outcomes can and do occur (for example, the massive underdog winning the game), the corner count is more likely to go with expectation.
In the five seasons of Premier League soccer between 2016/17 and 2020/21, 1,057 of the 1,900 matches (55.6%) were won by the favourite, but 1,208 (63.6%) saw the favourite also have the most corners.
While it’s not possible to have a straight bet on which side will win the most corners in a match, by using data that is widely available it’s possible to establish the likelihood of a successful bet on the markets that are on offer.
How to bet on corners
Pinnacle offers two different markets for corners betting - Total and Handicap - across the major soccer leagues in Europe and the Champions League.
Total corners betting explained
In this market, the bookmaker will set what they believe the total number of corners in the match will be and bettors can select whether to bet over or under that figure.
Total corners betting example:
Wolves vs. Arsenal, February 10, 2022
Over 10 corners (11 or more corners): 1.909
Under 10 corners (nine or fewer corners): 1.917
Wolves’ matches this season averaged 10.0 corners each prior to kick-off while Arsenal’s averaged10.3, so the bookmaker’s choice was logical and left bettors with a tricky decision to make. As the match went on to have 11 corners, the line was well selected and the outcome could easily have gone either way.
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